Economic Outlook No. 106

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OECD

Economic Outlook No. 106 - November 2019

Country		OECD - Total
Frequency		Quarterly
Time		Q1-2019	Q2-2019	Q3-2019	Q4-2019	Q1-2020	Q2-2020	Q3-2020	Q4-2020	Q1-2021	Q2-2021	Q3-2021	Q4-2021
Time
Variable
External sectors, trade and payments	Current account balance in USD	74 905 914 222.40	87 987 060 972.94	181 466 258 584.16	146 849 522 661.98	124 121 693 086.56	115 047 466 952.25	105 073 267 425.47	98 180 012 853.51	79 881 543 775.02	58 256 190 068.27	42 281 328 366.86	27 524 164 171.34
	Current account balance as a percentage of GDP	0.14	0.17	0.34	0.27	0.23	0.21	0.19	0.18	0.14	0.10	0.07	0.05
	Current account balance in USD, residual item	-45 221 582 487.03	-4 272 140 922.14	-8 106 705 443.36	-1 346 673 807.57	-345 292 023.35	-3 540 887 104.10	-4 956 036 821.73	-4 134 233 963.03	-1 957 111 135.86	-488 574 981.15	496 874 504.86	901 069 538.51
	Balance of primary income in USD (balance of payments basis)	355 925 150 149.75	416 865 710 461.29	342 381 231 320.45	325 890 027 602.58	325 287 510 718.40	341 157 123 127.16	353 044 624 322.80	366 772 806 552.51	361 851 907 847.79	355 059 919 184.69	351 419 141 677.75	349 770 541 014.23
	Net exports of goods and services, nominal value in USD (national accounts basis)	142 000 710 962.58	25 700 877 283.00	171 892 753 837.45	149 052 958 784.76	126 633 011 980.13	102 499 376 189.30	80 414 394 524.01	57 232 410 305.24	39 080 399 309.25	23 406 448 122.67	8 452 389 954.43	-5 770 850 159.72
	Imports of goods and services, nominal value in USD (national accounts basis)	14 804 455 336 635.70	14 845 752 656 639.50	14 670 762 769 470.10	14 788 767 241 440.70	14 950 804 883 570.60	15 110 068 287 963.80	15 275 527 503 433.90	15 444 688 953 910.70	15 614 756 577 112.40	15 785 709 234 454.80	15 959 017 740 160.40	16 135 058 985 725.70
	Balance of secondary income in USD (balance of payments basis)	-377 798 364 402.91	-350 307 385 849.21	-324 701 021 130.38	-326 746 789 917.79	-327 453 537 588.62	-325 068 145 260.11	-323 429 714 599.61	-321 690 970 041.20	-319 093 652 246.16	-319 721 602 257.95	-318 087 077 770.18	-317 376 596 221.68
	Exports of goods and services, nominal value in USD (national accounts basis)	14 946 456 047 598.30	14 871 453 533 922.50	14 842 655 523 307.50	14 937 820 200 225.40	15 077 437 895 550.70	15 212 567 664 153.10	15 355 941 897 957.90	15 501 921 364 215.90	15 653 836 976 421.70	15 809 115 682 577.50	15 967 470 130 114.80	16 129 288 135 566.00
	Terms of trade, goods and services	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00
Expenditure and GDP	Gross domestic product, nominal value, market prices	61 614 317 015 326.10	62 253 731 692 746.30	62 827 741 470 985.00	63 357 763 142 258.60	64 017 174 269 181.30	64 581 156 715 725.50	65 294 014 185 654.70	65 828 329 254 079.30	66 539 978 567 428.10	67 131 894 401 056.10	67 893 535 354 468.40	68 442 188 420 134.80
	Gross domestic product, volume, market prices	57 357 864 235 521.60	57 603 086 972 036.10	57 819 544 705 351.90	58 050 436 560 770.30	58 282 743 494 792.30	58 523 726 685 000.80	58 772 034 606 622.40	59 025 231 680 925.70	59 276 194 849 683.50	59 527 699 420 909.70	59 783 328 285 192.40	60 041 895 138 510.50
	Gross fixed capital formation, total, volume	12 443 366 856 321.80	12 581 495 501 083.90	12 459 439 071 430.10	12 520 274 502 817.40	12 584 217 380 285.50	12 655 059 794 224.30	12 727 468 892 021.50	12 806 324 919 934.80	12 881 838 868 102.10	12 956 929 051 154.40	13 033 669 110 185.10	13 111 671 405 899.60
	Government final consumption expenditure, volume	9 813 946 405 856.66	9 900 771 923 426.12	9 950 297 920 293.61	10 013 127 950 141.20	10 058 717 330 447.40	10 104 053 511 112.20	10 148 624 239 384.60	10 190 905 593 200.40	10 232 410 797 625.80	10 272 333 618 280.80	10 312 359 084 221.00	10 351 947 936 554.70
	Final domestic expenditure, nominal value	60 941 539 299 632.80	61 745 322 848 363.10	62 212 400 379 866.40	62 795 030 335 269.20	63 491 321 768 859.80	64 091 769 650 565.60	64 839 908 259 949.20	65 409 896 306 172.00	66 148 450 373 003.50	66 763 123 064 653.10	67 548 148 929 285.50	68 119 199 998 342.90
	Final domestic expenditure, volume	56 788 434 576 505.60	57 273 948 203 544.60	57 393 126 010 956.10	57 659 582 005 423.90	57 922 409 707 915.00	58 191 643 511 858.30	58 465 168 001 410.40	58 743 466 274 876.60	59 018 316 846 913.70	59 291 659 576 050.80	59 568 487 623 903.90	59 846 995 590 574.60
	Private final consumption expenditure, volume	34 531 197 411 111.40	34 791 164 636 474.60	34 983 887 222 296.40	35 126 364 298 656.60	35 279 593 500 470.00	35 432 471 217 399.30	35 588 896 899 083.30	35 745 794 328 965.90	35 903 509 151 512.80	36 061 643 541 009.30	36 221 569 448 309.30	36 382 216 234 287.60
	Imports of goods and services, volume (national accounts basis)	16 953 935 123 972.40	17 070 746 609 023.70	17 054 639 648 431.30	17 128 412 459 107.90	17 225 904 025 331.70	17 338 560 371 023.00	17 456 636 409 662.10	17 576 395 185 399.30	17 699 111 538 027.90	17 823 085 299 611.30	17 949 611 601 427.70	18 077 956 321 486.50
	Total domestic expenditure, volume	57 140 494 049 604.60	57 504 498 581 125.90	57 569 948 700 530.70	57 826 231 721 629.00	58 086 064 098 954.40	58 355 030 610 419.80	58 628 285 438 598.50	58 906 285 866 224.50	59 180 853 274 062.50	59 453 928 981 692.60	59 730 496 458 022.80	60 008 762 686 866.70
	Exports of goods and services, volume (national accounts basis)	17 164 959 742 254.70	17 204 022 121 203.20	17 333 599 792 023.50	17 386 471 448 302.20	17 455 801 732 544.90	17 539 751 615 639.80	17 632 259 658 955.40	17 726 551 643 349.10	17 825 042 410 501.70	17 926 807 957 083.40	18 031 787 841 368.40	18 139 788 379 003.00
Selected variables: ready-made growth rates	Exports of goods and services, volume, growth (national accounts basis)	1.13	0.91	3.05	1.23	1.60	1.94	2.13	2.16	2.24	2.30	2.36	2.42
	Total domestic expenditure, volume, growth	1.70	2.57	0.46	1.79	1.81	1.87	1.89	1.91	1.88	1.86	1.87	1.88
	Imports of goods and services, volume, growth (national accounts basis)	-0.11	2.78	-0.38	1.74	2.30	2.64	2.75	2.77	2.82	2.83	2.87	2.89
	Private final consumption expenditure, deflator, growth	2.06	2.08	1.75	1.86	2.15	2.05	2.20	2.13	2.13	2.14	2.13	2.12
	Gross domestic product, market prices, deflator, growth	1.95	2.45	2.19	1.78	2.57	1.87	2.73	1.55	2.63	1.87	2.83	1.51
	Core inflation	2.02	1.97	1.88	1.95	2.15	2.22	2.23	2.15	2.16	2.18	2.18	2.18
	Private final consumption expenditure, volume, growth	1.33	3.05	2.23	1.64	1.76	1.74	1.78	1.78	1.78	1.77	1.79	1.79
	Final domestic expenditure, volume, growth	1.45	3.46	0.83	1.87	1.84	1.87	1.89	1.92	1.88	1.87	1.88	1.88
	Headline inflation	2.10	2.14	1.74	1.82	2.20	2.07	2.22	2.17	2.18	2.19	2.19	2.19
	Government final consumption expenditure, volume, growth	1.86	3.59	2.02	2.55	1.83	1.82	1.78	1.68	1.64	1.57	1.57	1.54
	Gross fixed capital formation, total, volume, growth	1.44	4.51	-3.82	1.97	2.06	2.27	2.31	2.50	2.38	2.35	2.39	2.42
	Total employment, growth	0.75	0.61	1.59	0.98	0.68	0.62	0.81	0.66	0.63	0.60	0.88	0.83
	Gross domestic product, volume, growth	2.25	1.72	1.51	1.61	1.61	1.66	1.71	1.73	1.71	1.71	1.73	1.74
	Gross domestic product, nominal value, growth	4.26	4.22	3.74	3.42	4.23	3.57	4.49	3.31	4.39	3.61	4.62	3.27
Household sector accounts	Compensation of employees, total economy	28 617 109 062 133.90	28 936 772 195 897.70	29 186 128 716 712.10	29 459 285 443 959.20	29 745 321 272 133.40	30 019 803 992 084.90	30 306 874 669 843.90	30 579 391 488 705.60	30 873 572 153 799.50	31 171 634 418 608.40	31 484 746 126 541.60	31 781 757 321 993.90
Prices and deflators	Consumer price index	1.07	1.08	1.08	1.09	1.09	1.10	1.11	1.11	1.12	1.12	1.13	1.14
	Total domestic expenditure, deflator	1.08	1.08	1.09	1.09	1.10	1.10	1.11	1.12	1.12	1.13	1.14	1.14
	Exports of goods and services, deflator (national accounts basis)	1.07	1.07	1.07	1.08	1.08	1.09	1.09	1.10	1.10	1.11	1.11	1.12
	Exports of goods and services in USD, deflator (national accounts basis)	1.04	1.03	1.02	1.03	1.03	1.04	1.04	1.04	1.05	1.05	1.06	1.06
	Gross total fixed capital formation, deflator	1.09	1.09	1.11	1.11	1.12	1.12	1.13	1.13	1.15	1.15	1.16	1.16
	Imports of goods and services, deflator (national accounts basis)	1.07	1.08	1.07	1.08	1.08	1.09	1.09	1.10	1.11	1.11	1.12	1.12
	Imports of goods and services in USD, deflator (national accounts basis)	1.03	1.02	1.02	1.02	1.03	1.03	1.03	1.04	1.04	1.05	1.05	1.06
	Private final consumption expenditure, deflator	1.07	1.07	1.08	1.08	1.09	1.09	1.10	1.11	1.11	1.12	1.12	1.13
	Government final consumption expenditure, deflator	1.08	1.08	1.09	1.09	1.10	1.11	1.11	1.12	1.12	1.13	1.14	1.14
	Core inflation index	1.07	1.07	1.08	1.09	1.09	1.10	1.10	1.11	1.11	1.12	1.13	1.13
	Gross domestic product, market prices, deflator	1.07	1.08	1.09	1.09	1.10	1.10	1.11	1.12	1.12	1.13	1.14	1.14
Labour markets	Unemployment, level	33 892 190.47	33 298 509.16	33 116 392.83	32 968 878.18	33 014 406.83	33 005 288.31	33 042 125.33	33 226 930.51	33 231 912.19	33 175 940.95	33 119 231.51	33 080 045.32
	Unemployment rate	5.30	5.21	5.16	5.13	5.12	5.11	5.11	5.13	5.12	5.11	5.09	5.07
	Compensation rate, total economy	56 522.31	57 021.25	57 374.69	57 824.12	58 300.27	58 756.00	59 213.29	59 698.39	60 214.27	60 729.94	61 252.02	61 795.34
	Unit labour cost in total economy	1.08	1.09	1.09	1.10	1.11	1.11	1.12	1.13	1.13	1.14	1.15	1.15
	Labour productivity, total economy	1.03	1.03	1.03	1.03	1.03	1.03	1.04	1.04	1.04	1.04	1.05	1.05
	Total employment (labour force survey basis)	605 515 197.14	606 429 395.74	608 832 541.75	610 315 819.56	611 352 796.47	612 292 195.68	613 535 892.87	614 540 989.71	615 506 449.84	616 428 987.11	617 776 375.66	619 050 226.83
	Labour force	639 407 387.61	639 727 904.90	641 948 934.58	643 284 697.75	644 367 203.30	645 297 484.00	646 578 018.20	647 767 920.22	648 738 362.03	649 604 928.06	650 895 607.17	652 130 272.15
Oil and commodities	OECD crude oil import price, CIF, USD per barrel	60.39	67.58	60.76	58.91	59.01	59.01	59.01	59.01	59.01	59.01	59.01	59.01
	Crude oil price, FOB, USD per barrel, spot Brent	63.15	68.71	61.77	59.89	60.00	60.00	60.00	60.00	60.00	60.00	60.00	60.00
	Agricultural raw materials, world price, HWWI (USD basis)	1.15	1.11	1.07	1.07	1.07	1.07	1.07	1.07	1.07	1.07	1.07	1.07
	Primary commodities excluding energy, world price, HWWI (USD basis)	1.08	1.08	1.08	1.06	1.06	1.06	1.06	1.06	1.06	1.06	1.06	1.06
	Food and tropical beverages, world price, HWWI (USD basis)	0.89	0.88	0.88	0.86	0.86	0.86	0.86	0.86	0.86	0.86	0.86	0.86
	Food, world price, HWWI (USD basis)	0.95	0.94	0.93	0.91	0.91	0.91	0.91	0.91	0.91	0.91	0.91	0.91
	Minerals, ores and metals, world price, HWWI (USD basis)	1.23	1.26	1.26	1.23	1.23	1.23	1.23	1.23	1.23	1.23	1.23	1.23
	Tropical beverages, world price, HWWI (USD basis)	0.81	0.80	0.80	0.79	0.79	0.79	0.79	0.79	0.79	0.79	0.79	0.79
	Oil market conditions, demand	47 553 900.00	46 928 800.00	48 419 600.00	48 479 500.00	47 594 200.00	47 282 300.00	48 755 300.00	48 817 900.00	..	..	..	..
	Oil market conditions, supply	27 905 000.00	28 157 900.00	28 141 400.00	29 179 900.00	29 802 900.00	30 054 800.00	30 190 800.00	30 717 600.00	..	..	..	..
	Oil market conditions, trade	19 787 800.00	19 322 300.00	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..

Data extracted on 27 Apr 2024 06:45 UTC (GMT) from UKDS.Stat

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Economic Outlook No. 106 - November 2019

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